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Significant storms are expected across the Lower Mississippi Valley and the Southeastern United States today

Written by: Candyse Arivett

Storm Prediction Center

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Moderate risk of severe weather (4 out of 5) across parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley and the Southeastern United States with the potential for large hail, strong winds that can cause damage, and even strong tornadoes.

This severe weather setup is due to an unseasonably strong upper-level jet stream for this region of the country at this time of year combined with a warm and very moist environment. This will result in an abundance of instability to support the development of strong to severe storms across the region this afternoon and evening.

While there is still some uncertainty in the model guidance on possible storm modes, it's very likely that we'll have severe storms today and tonight across a large area. These storms have the potential to produce large to very large hail upwards of 3 inches in diameter, strong and damaging winds in excess of 80 miles per hour, and possibly a few tornadoes, some of which could be strong. The southern parts of Alabama and southwest Georgia have the highest chance of tornadoes based on the latest model data and it is across this area we could see the greatest chances for isolated supercell storms forming, taking advantage of the strengthening winds in the lower and middle parts of the atmosphere.

Strong to severe storms are ongoing across parts of Texas, Oklahoma, and Arkansas late this morning, with additional severe storms across Northern Mississippi and Alabama. Across southern Alabama and into southwest Georgia, a few tornadoes have already occurred and are ongoing as of late this morning.

For those who may be affected by the severe weather threat today in the Lower Mississippi Valley and the Southeastern United States, prioritizing your safety is of utmost importance. Stay informed about the latest weather updates and warnings through reliable sources such as local news or weather apps. Take shelter in a sturdy building, preferably in a basement or an interior room on the lowest level. Stay away from windows and seek additional protection by covering yourself with a mattress or heavy blankets. Keep emergency supplies readily available, including food, water, medications, a flashlight, and a battery-powered weather radio. Have a plan in place for communication with loved ones, and make sure they are aware of your whereabouts. Stay calm and be prepared to take quick action in the event of severe weather. Your safety is very important, so take all warnings and instructions seriously. 

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